Pre-tourney Rankings
Penn St.
Big Ten
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.0#120
Expected Predictive Rating+5.5#98
Pace66.5#268
Improvement+2.9#65

Offense
Total Offense-0.4#182
First Shot-1.0#208
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#122
Layup/Dunks-0.7#215
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#229
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#156
Freethrows+0.5#139
Improvement+1.8#96

Defense
Total Defense+3.4#86
First Shot+2.9#86
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#119
Layups/Dunks+3.0#56
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#76
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#147
Freethrows-2.1#309
Improvement+1.1#114
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2015 304   VMI W 62-50 92%     1 - 0 -0.3 -6.3 +8.0
  Nov 17, 2015 170   DePaul W 68-62 73%     2 - 0 +2.5 -4.9 +7.5
  Nov 20, 2015 151   Duquesne L 52-78 58%     2 - 1 -25.2 -23.9 +0.0
  Nov 24, 2015 227   Radford L 74-86 82%     2 - 2 -18.8 -0.7 -18.4
  Nov 28, 2015 171   Bucknell W 62-58 73%     3 - 2 +0.4 -9.6 +10.3
  Dec 02, 2015 206   @ Boston College W 67-58 61%     4 - 2 +9.0 +9.1 +1.3
  Dec 05, 2015 159   Eastern Michigan W 81-70 70%     5 - 2 +8.4 -1.4 +8.9
  Dec 08, 2015 72   @ George Washington L 66-76 23%     5 - 3 +0.7 -0.4 +0.7
  Dec 10, 2015 231   Canisius W 81-67 83%     6 - 3 +7.0 -4.3 +10.4
  Dec 12, 2015 139   Louisiana Monroe W 54-50 65%     7 - 3 +2.9 -17.1 +20.3
  Dec 19, 2015 230   Drexel W 63-57 75%     8 - 3 +1.9 -5.6 +8.1
  Dec 22, 2015 47   Colorado L 70-71 24%     8 - 4 +9.5 +7.1 +2.4
  Dec 23, 2015 182   Kent St. W 75-69 65%     9 - 4 +4.9 -0.4 +5.2
  Dec 30, 2015 22   @ Maryland L 64-70 9%     9 - 5 0 - 1 +11.7 +2.1 +9.3
  Jan 02, 2016 42   @ Michigan L 56-79 16%     9 - 6 0 - 2 -9.3 -7.7 -3.6
  Jan 05, 2016 176   Minnesota W 86-77 74%     10 - 6 1 - 2 +5.3 +13.3 -8.0
  Jan 10, 2016 2   Michigan St. L 65-92 10%     10 - 7 1 - 3 -9.6 -3.5 -5.3
  Jan 13, 2016 9   @ Purdue L 57-74 7%     10 - 8 1 - 4 +3.0 -4.7 +7.3
  Jan 16, 2016 65   @ Northwestern W 71-62 22%     11 - 8 2 - 4 +20.2 +6.0 +14.5
  Jan 21, 2016 33   Wisconsin L 60-66 28%     11 - 9 2 - 5 +3.0 -0.7 +3.1
  Jan 25, 2016 69   @ Ohio St. L 46-66 22%     11 - 10 2 - 6 -9.0 -18.4 +9.0
  Jan 30, 2016 42   Michigan L 72-79 23%     11 - 11 2 - 7 +3.8 +5.3 -1.9
  Feb 03, 2016 21   @ Iowa L 49-73 9%     11 - 12 2 - 8 -6.2 -15.2 +8.8
  Feb 06, 2016 13   Indiana W 68-63 17%     12 - 12 3 - 8 +18.2 +1.4 +17.0
  Feb 13, 2016 79   @ Nebraska L 54-70 25%     12 - 13 3 - 9 -6.1 -7.9 -0.1
  Feb 17, 2016 21   Iowa W 79-75 20%     13 - 13 4 - 9 +16.0 +10.9 +5.0
  Feb 20, 2016 271   @ Rutgers W 70-58 75%     14 - 13 5 - 9 +7.9 -0.3 +8.7
  Feb 25, 2016 79   Nebraska W 56-55 46%     15 - 13 6 - 9 +5.1 -5.9 +11.2
  Feb 28, 2016 2   @ Michigan St. L 57-88 4%     15 - 14 6 - 10 -7.8 -6.5 -1.4
  Mar 03, 2016 65   Northwestern L 61-71 41%     15 - 15 6 - 11 -4.7 -3.5 -2.1
  Mar 06, 2016 109   Illinois W 86-79 2OT 58%     16 - 15 7 - 11 +8.0 +0.9 +6.1
  Mar 10, 2016 69   Ohio St. L 75-79 31%     16 - 16 +4.1 +5.3 -1.1
Projected Record 16.0 - 16.0 7.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%